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IMO if the notch is so far off as for the tree to hit the lumber, then I can't see how a rope would help. As soon as the tree starts to move the rope would go slack and it will follow the hinge (and gravity) anyway. What exactly are you going to do with the rope to steer the tree? Pull it off at...

Looks like a very old lightning strike. As Nutball said, the defect will not affect the hinge. Remember that the hings is the wood you DON'T cut, not the piece you cut out. The hinge is what bends and steers the tree. Since you are falling it with the lean there is very little chance of it going...